Latest posts by Liam Carroll (see all)
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If North Texas is his best bet on a Saturday then that is his bet. Avoid Exotic Bets – “For very skilled handicappers, with a proven track record, there can, at least in theory, be value in betting parlays,” says Gordon on the type of bet that combines two or more individual wagers.
However, Konik adds that there are some bettors who actually know how to beat the bookies. Also, being “in action” can make a dull late-afternoon game (Buffalo vs. Not all games work according to this formula, but it is usually a good rule of thumb.”
2. Slim underdogs regularly win outright. There are almost an infinite number of scenarios that can happen in a single football game.
Betting on football games; whether it’s through a local bookie, an offshore Internet site or a Nevada casino (still the only legal place in America to make football bets), most of us have done it or know of someone who has.
So, how much are we gambling each football season?
While these tips don’t guarantee you’re going to win, hopefully they can make you a little less square and a little more sharp in your picks this season. If you like an underdog, it is best to get your bet in as late as possible, where there is heavy action from squares on favorites.
Newspapers and popular sports sites routinely publish the lines or point spreads for games, and football insiders offer their picks to viewers each week on ESPN and other cable networks. “In the NFL, a game will often be totally turned around by one or two plays, or even a single penalty. On college you will be able to find different lines at different sports books. “Over the course of several seasons, the percentage of bettors who turn a profit is minuscule.”
“A square or recreational player might have a vague plan, but after two Corona’s he will definitely run to the window and make a hasty decision on the USC-Notre Dame game because he wants to be involved in the party atmosphere,” Vaccaro says. The payout is just the same as far as he is concerned.
Ted Sevransky, a well-known Las Vegas gambler and sports consultant with Sportsmemo.com, agrees.
“The biggest mistake that amateur bettors make is they increase their bets when they are losing,” Sevransky says. The only locks that exist are those that need keys to open them.”
So, how much should you bet a game?
8. . So underdogs tend to be slightly undervalued – except by the sharps.”
And remember, in the immortal words of “Fast” Eddie Felson, “Money won is twice as sweet as money earned.”
“Most people with an understanding of football gambling bet between 3 percent and 5 percent of their bankroll, increasing when they win and reducing when they lose,” Vaccaro says. Bet at the Right Time – “The sharp bettors tend to bet underdogs, and they tend to bet them early,” Moseman says. In fact, sports bettors must pick 52.4 percent winners just to break even.”
Also, it’s probably a good idea to disregard advice from the myriad of ex-players and football experts you see on television each week. “In trying to bamboozle potential customers, many services make claims about having scouts all over the country that give them inside information and promise 70 or even 80 percent winners, as if the bookmakers were the biggest suckers in the world. Money Management – “This is without a doubt the most important aspect of betting on sports and possibly the most neglected,” says Morey “Doc” Moseman, a professional gambler and sports consultant with DocSports.com for nearly 40 years. The NFL, for example, will have very similar numbers at most of the betting shops you visit.
“The bookies fear and despise a tiny coterie of professional bettors known as ‘the sharps,’” Konik says.
“There is probably no better bet in sports than playing an underdog at home,” Moseman says. Drinking and Gambling Don’t Mix – “There is a reason the casinos in Las Vegas supply you with free drinks while you are gambling,” Moseman says. “Because alcohol clouds your judgment and usually helps you to make rash decisions you usually wouldn’t otherwise make. “There will be more discrepancy in the numbers at different sports books. Consider Underdogs – “In the long-run, it’s easier to win betting on the underdog,” Konik says. Research Football Services – “Most sports services realize that most people who sign up with them are insecure,” Gordon warns. And why not? We have unconditional love for the sport and betting $50 or $100 on a game adds an extra rush of adrenaline. Avoid Chasing Bets – “Don’t do it! There is no worse way to mismanage your bankroll than to chase your bets after a losing day,” cautions Moseman on the dangerous practice of trying to immediately win back your losses. “As for me, the best bet in football is betting the point spread or over/under totals on individual games. He loses year after year, according to Dan Gordon, a top football handicapper and author of How to Beat the Sports Books (Cardoza Publishing 2005). Oakland comes to mind) seem like the Super Bowl. “The key to proper money management is to be sure not to bet more than you can afford to lose.”
“In an average season, fewer than one bettor in twelve turns a profit,” Gordon says. They use powerful computers that can process millions of bits of data and produce a more accurate point-spread line than the bookmakers.”
Although exact figures are impossible to calculate, according to Jimmy Vaccaro, widely considered to be Las Vegas’ most influential bookmaker, Americans probably wager more than $50 billion a year on NFL and college football combined. Locks Don’t Exist – “Anyone who has watched sports for about a month realizes that the difference between winning and losing, especially against the spread, can be infinitesimally small,” Gordon says.
“A sharp or smart has a Get More Info